Provident Financial Holdings Stock Analysis

PROV Stock  USD 16.15  0.01  0.06%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Provident Financial Holdings extending back to June 28, 1996. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Provident Financial stands at 16.15, as last reported on the 4th of February, with the highest price reaching 16.26 and the lowest price hitting 16.10 during the day.
IPO Date
28th of June 1996
200 Day MA
15.5267
50 Day MA
15.829
Beta
0.314
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Provident Financial has over 213.07 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing. At this time, Provident Financial's Debt To Equity is fairly stable compared to the past year. Debt Equity Ratio is likely to climb to 2.15 in 2026, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 184.7 M in 2026. Provident Financial's financial risk is the risk to Provident Financial stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Provident Financial's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Provident Financial's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Provident Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Provident Financial's stakeholders.
For many companies, including Provident Financial, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Provident Financial Holdings, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Provident Financial's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
0.8121
Price Sales
2.5625
Shares Float
4.2 M
Dividend Share
0.56
Wall Street Target Price
16
At this time, Provident Financial's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is fairly stable compared to the past year. Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is likely to climb to 0.01 in 2026, whereas Total Stockholder Equity is likely to drop slightly above 132.5 M in 2026. . At this time, Provident Financial's Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is likely to climb to 1.05 in 2026, despite the fact that Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (1.48).
Provident Financial Holdings is fairly valued with Real Value of 15.95 and Target Price of 16.0. The main objective of Provident Financial stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Provident Financial Holdings is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Provident Financial's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Provident Financial stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Provident Financial is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day ( substitute day ), Independence Day. Provident Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Provident Financial Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Provident Stock Analysis Notes

About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.81. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Provident Financial last dividend was issued on the 12th of February 2026. The entity had 3:2 split on the 3rd of February 2004. Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. operates as the holding company for Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B. that provides community banking services to consumers and small to mid-sized businesses in the Inland Empire region of Southern California. Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Riverside, California. Provident Financial operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 110 people. To find out more about Provident Financial Holdings contact Craig Blunden at 951 686 6060 or learn more at https://www.myprovident.com.

Provident Financial Quarterly Total Revenue

14.87 Million

Provident Financial Investment Alerts

Provident Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 5 Insightful Analyst Questions From Provident Financial Servicess Q4 Earnings Call - Finviz

Provident Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Provident Financial's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2017-04-27
2017-03-310.160.14-0.0212 
1999-07-27
1999-06-300.180.20.0211 
2024-10-28
2024-09-300.250.280.0312 
View All Earnings Estimates

Provident Financial Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Provident Financial's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Provident Financial's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Provident Financial's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Provident Financial's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Provident Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Empowered Funds, Llc2025-06-30
29.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
26.5 K
Federated Hermes Inc2025-06-30
26 K
Continental Advisors Llc2025-06-30
24.1 K
State Street Corp2025-06-30
24.1 K
Talbot Financial2025-06-30
17.9 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2025-06-30
13.6 K
Black Maple Capital Management Lp2025-06-30
12.2 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2025-06-30
8.7 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
490.5 K
M3f, Inc.2025-06-30
401.2 K
Note, although Provident Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Provident Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 104.56 M.

Provident Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.16 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.22 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.22.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.06  0.08 

Management Efficiency

Return On Tangible Assets is likely to climb to 0.01 in 2026. Return On Capital Employed is likely to climb to 0.05 in 2026. At this time, Provident Financial's Non Currrent Assets Other are fairly stable compared to the past year. Total Current Assets is likely to climb to about 112.9 M in 2026, whereas Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop slightly above 1.2 B in 2026. Provident Financial's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Provident Financial manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 17.23  12.16 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 17.23  12.16 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 24.57  20.02 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.93  1.05 
Enterprise Value Multiple 24.57  20.02 
Price Fair Value 0.93  1.05 
Enterprise Value245.2 M170.6 M
The management team at Provident Financial has a track record of steering the company towards sustained growth. Evaluating their strategies helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Dividend Yield
0.0347
Operating Margin
0.2227
Profit Margin
0.1617
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0346
Beta
0.314

Technical Drivers

As of the 4th of February, Provident Financial holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0514, coefficient of variation of 1484.66, and Semi Deviation of 0.7494. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Provident Financial, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Provident Financial variance and potential upside to decide if Provident Financial is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 16.15 per share. Given that Provident Financial has jensen alpha of 0.0438, we recommend you to check out Provident Financial's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Provident Financial Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Provident Financial middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Provident Financial. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Provident Financial Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Provident Financial insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Provident Financial's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Provident Financial insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Provident Financial Outstanding Bonds

Provident Financial issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Provident Financial uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Provident bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Provident Financial Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Provident Financial Predictive Daily Indicators

Provident Financial intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Provident Financial stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Provident Financial Corporate Filings

8K
27th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
23rd of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
21st of November 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
13th of November 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
7th of November 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
28th of October 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
24th of October 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
20th of October 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Provident Financial Forecast Models

Provident Financial's time-series forecasting models are one of many Provident Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Provident Financial's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Provident Financial Bond Ratings

Provident Financial Holdings financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Provident Financial have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Provident Financial's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
7
StrongView
Beneish M Score
(2.60)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Provident Financial Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Provident Financial, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Provident Financial Holdings currently holds 213.07 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.78, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Note, when we think about Provident Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Provident Financial Total Assets Over Time

Provident Financial Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Provident Financial uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Provident Financial Debt Ratio

    
  19.0   
It appears most of the Provident Financial's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Provident Financial's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Provident Financial, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Provident Financial Corporate Bonds Issued

Provident Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

184.75 Million

At this time, Provident Financial's Short and Long Term Debt Total is fairly stable compared to the past year.

About Provident Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Provident Financial prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Provident shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Provident Financial. By using and applying Provident Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Provident entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.13  0.14 
Operating Profit Margin 0.13  0.14 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.09 
Gross Profit Margin 0.59  0.54 

Current Provident Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Provident analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Provident analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
16.0Hold2Odds
Provident Financial Holdings current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Provident analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Provident stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Provident Financial, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Provident conference calls.
Provident Analyst Advice Details

Provident Stock Analysis Indicators

Provident Financial Holdings stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Provident Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Provident Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Provident Financial stock analysis, traders can identify Provident Financial position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow51.4 M
Long Term Debt213.1 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity128.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities26.5 M
Tax Provision2.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.702
Property Plant And Equipment Net9.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments53.2 M
Cash53.1 M
Net Debt160 M
50 Day M A15.829
Total Current Liabilities888.8 M
Other Operating Expenses51.3 M
Non Current Assets Total1.2 B
Forward Price Earnings10.1729
Non Currrent Assets Other22.2 M
Stock Based Compensation543 K

Additional Tools for Provident Stock Analysis

When running Provident Financial's price analysis, check to measure Provident Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Provident Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Provident Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Provident Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Provident Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Provident Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.